On 14 November 2016, UNU-IAS will organize the event Ecosystem Scenarios and Models From Local To National Scales: Contributions To IPBES Regional and Global Assessments. The event aims to provide updates on scientific efforts and practices to expand ecosystem scenarios and models from local to national scales, and discuss how to connect and upscale various local and national scenario-building efforts to regional and global scenarios. It will also provide information on the new UNU-IAS project Predicting and Assessing Natural Capital and Ecosystem Services in Japan (PANCES), touching on collaboration with the assessment process of the Intergovernmental Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES).
Speakers will include Eduardo S. Brondizio (Indiana University Bloomington), Salvatore Arico (UNESCO), and Simon Ferrier (CSIRO, Australia).
This seminar is being held in collaboration with the Integrated Research System for Sustainability Science (IR3S), The University of Tokyo IPBES Technical Support Unit for Asia-Pacific Regional Assessment (IPBES-TSU-AP), the Institute for Global Environmental Strategies (IGES), the Ministry of the Environment, Japan; the Ecosystem Scenarios Network (ScenNet) project, and the TSUNAGARI project.
The event programme is available to download.
Under IPBES, scenarios and models are used to explore the consequences of possible future societal developments for biodiversity and ecosystem services. Multistakeholder participation in scenario development contributes to improved dialogue between stakeholders, the development of their capacity to understand and use scenarios in decision making, and improved integration of stakeholder knowledge in scenarios. How to connect/upscale various local and national scenario building efforts to regional and global scenarios is one of the key challenges for IPBES regional and global assessments.
13:00–14:00 Opening Session: Setting the Scene
Overview on IPBES Scenarios & Modelling
IPBES Global Assessment & Scenarios
14:00–16:55 Main Session: Experience from Local to National Scenarios and Assessments
Japan National Assessments (JSSA, JBOs)
Predicting and Assessing Natural Capital and Ecosystem Services in Japan (PANCES Project)
Modelling Terrestrial Natural Capital and Ecosystems Services in Japan
Modelling Marine Natural Capital and Ecosystem Services in Japan
Projection of Potential Habitat for Beech (Fagus crenata) Forests in Japan Considering Three Different Dynamic Downscaling Scenarios
Global Conservation Scenarios for Mammals
Discussion: Upscaling and Downscaling
16:55–17:00 Closing Remarks
United Nations University
Elizabeth Rose Conference Hall (5F)
Shibuya-ku, Tokyo 150-8925