Ecosystem Scenarios & Models From Local to National Scales: Contributions to IPBES Regional & Global Assessments


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  • DATE / TIME:
    2016•11•14    13:00 - 17:00

    On 14 November 2016, UNU-IAS will organize the event Ecosystem Scenarios and Models From Local To National Scales: Contributions To IPBES Regional and Global Assessments. The event aims to provide updates on scientific efforts and practices to expand ecosystem scenarios and models from local to national scales, and discuss how to connect and upscale various local and national scenario-building efforts to regional and global scenarios. It will also provide information on the new UNU-IAS project Predicting and Assessing Natural Capital and Ecosystem Services in Japan (PANCES), touching on collaboration with the assessment process of the Intergovernmental Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES).

    Speakers will include Eduardo S. Brondizio (Indiana University Bloomington), Salvatore Arico (UNESCO), and Simon Ferrier (CSIRO, Australia).

    This seminar is being held in collaboration with the Integrated Research System for Sustainability Science (IR3S), The University of Tokyo IPBES Technical Support Unit for Asia-Pacific Regional Assessment (IPBES-TSU-AP), the Institute for Global Environmental Strategies (IGES), the Ministry of the Environment, Japan; the Ecosystem Scenarios Network (ScenNet) project, and the TSUNAGARI project.

    The event programme is available to download.


    Under IPBES, scenarios and models are used to explore the consequences of possible future societal developments for biodiversity and ecosystem services. Multistakeholder participation in scenario development contributes to improved dialogue between stakeholders, the development of their capacity to understand and use scenarios in decision making, and improved integration of stakeholder knowledge in scenarios. How to connect/upscale various local and national scenario building efforts to regional and global scenarios is one of the key challenges for IPBES regional and global assessments.


    13:00–14:00 Opening Session: Setting the Scene

    Opening Remarks

    • Kazuhiko Takeuchi, UNU-IAS / Ministry of the Environment, Japan
    • Salvatore Arico, UNESCO

    Overview on IPBES Scenarios & Modelling

    • Simon Ferrier, CSIRO, Australia

    IPBES Global Assessment & Scenarios

    • Eduardo S. Brondizio, Indiana University Bloomington


    14:00–16:55 Main Session: Experience from Local to National Scenarios and Assessments

    Japan National Assessments (JSSA, JBOs)

    • Osamu Saito, UNU-IAS
    • Shizuka Hashimoto

    Predicting and Assessing Natural Capital and Ecosystem Services in Japan (PANCES Project)

    • Kazuhiko Takeuchi

    Modelling Terrestrial Natural Capital and Ecosystems Services in Japan

    • Tohru Nakashizuka

    Modelling Marine Natural Capital and Ecosystem Services in Japan

    • Yoshihisa Shirayama

    Projection of Potential Habitat for Beech (Fagus crenata) Forests in Japan Considering Three Different Dynamic Downscaling Scenarios

    • Kiyoshi Takahashi

    Global Conservation Scenarios for Mammals

    • Carlo Rondinini

    Discussion: Upscaling and Downscaling

    16:55–17:00 Closing Remarks


    United Nations University
    Elizabeth Rose Conference Hall (5F)
    5-53-70 Jingumae
    Shibuya-ku, Tokyo 150-8925